NaFRA 100% National Coverage — Summer 2026

Commitment: Complete the National Flood Risk Assessment (NaFRA) to achieve 100% national coverage of flood risk mapping, including updated climate-adjusted projections, by summer 2026.

Owner: Environment Agency

Target date: Summer 2026

Metric: Publication of NaFRA with 100% England coverage.

Status: unknown — target date is summer 2026; not confirmed as complete in available sources.

Context

NaFRA (National Flood Risk Assessment) is the EA’s national-scale flood risk mapping tool. NaFRA 2024 was published in December 2024 — its updated climate-adjusted risk modelling raised the estimated number of properties at flood risk from 5.5 million to 6.3 million (the increase reflects better modelling methodology, not necessarily a change in actual risk).

Why 100% coverage matters

The 2024 NaFRA release improved risk modelling for large parts of England but still has coverage gaps in some areas. 100% coverage would:

• Provide nationally consistent flood risk data for planning decisions
• Enable better FCERM investment prioritisation
• Support the new investment framework (due April 2026)
• Improve flood risk communication to property owners and local authorities

Note on figure change

The NaFRA 2024 increase from 5.5m to 6.3m properties at risk is not a contradiction — it reflects improved methodology, not a worsening of actual flood risk. The FCERM strategy report should note this distinction. See lint report section 5b for context.